Program of the 3rd Annual Conference on

The Political Economy of International Organizations

January 28 – 30, 2010

Thursday, January 28, 2010

8:45am Opening remarks

9:00-10:00am Distinguished Guest Speaker I
(Location: Rafik B. Hariri Building, McDonough School of Business – 490 Fisher Colloquium)

Chair: James Vreeland

• Arvind Subramanian (Peterson Institute for International Economics), Endogenous Governance “Reform” in International Institutions

10:00-10:15am Break

10:15-12:00pm Session 1: European Union
(Location: Rafik B. Hariri Building, McDonough School of Business – 490 Fisher Colloquium)

Chair: Katharina Michaelowa

• Paper 1: Christian Bjørnskov (Aarhus University), Philipp Meinen (Aarhus University), Jorgen Ulff-Moller Nielsen (Aarhus University), Phillip J.H. Schröder (Aarhus University), Lobbying for anti-dumping measures: Evidence from the European Union. Discussion openers: Marc Busch, Soo Yeon Kim
• Paper 2: Kathleen McNamara (Georgetown University), Abraham L. Newman (Georgetown University), The European Union as an Institutional Scavenger: International organization ecosystems and institutional evolution. Discussion openers: Christian Bjørnskov, Christina Schneider
• Paper 3: Clifford Carruba (Emory University), Matthew Gabel (Washington University, St. Louis), Don Baudette (Emory University), Of Courts and Commerce: Reconsidering evidence from the European Court of Justice. Discussion openers: Gilbert R. Winham, Regine Wolfinger

12:00-1:30pm Lunch (Location: Faculty Club)

1:30-3:15pm Session 2: World Bank
(Location: Mortara Center for International Studies, 3600 N Street)

Chair: Axel Dreher

• Paper 1: Silvia Marchesi (Università di Milano Bicocca), Emanuela Sirtori (Università di Milano Bicocca), Motivations and Effects of IMF/WB interaction. Discussion openers: Bessma Momani, Byungwon Woo
• Paper 2: Christopher Kilby (Villanova University), An empirical assessment of informal influence in the World Bank. Discussion openers: Katharina Michaelowa, Mike Tierney
• Paper 3: Matthew S. Winters (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign), Targeted Aid and Capture in World Bank Projects. Discussion openers: Kirill Pogorelskiy, Dane Rowlands

3:15-3:30pm Break

3:30-5:15pm Session 3: IMF & Domestic Politics
(Location: Mortara Center for International Studies, 3600 N Street)

Chair: Bessma Momani

• Paper 1: Songying Fang (Rice University), Erica Owen (University of Minnesota), Subtle Signals, Limited Device: International Institutions and Credible Commitment of Nondemocracies. Discussion openers: Caitlin Ainsley, Heiner Mikosch
• Paper 2: Ashoka Mody (IMF), Diego Saravia (Central Bank of Chile), From Crisis to IMF-Supported Program: Politics and the speed required by financial markets. Discussion openers: Alex Mandilaras, Rahul Tripathi
• Paper 3: Mark Anner (Penn State University), Teri L. Caraway (University of Minnesota), Stephanie J. Rickard (London School of Economics), International Negotiations and Domestic Politics: The case of IMF labor market conditionality. Discussion openers: Axel Dreher, Martin S. Edwards

5:15-7:00pm Poster Session Reception
(Location: Intercultural Center (ICC) Galeria) – hors d’oeuvres and drinks will be served

IMF

• Paper 1: Graham Bird (University of Surrey), Dane Rowlands (Carleton University), The Episodic and Unpredictable Nature of IMF Lending: Lessons for Policy. Discussants: Ashoka Mody, Bessma Momani
• Paper 2: Martin S. Edwards (Seton Hall University), Implementation Uncertainty and the Design of IMF Conditionality. Discussants: Domenico Lombardi, Francisco Ramon-Ballester
• Paper 3: Tamar Gutner (American University), When “Doing Good” Does Not: The IMF and The Millenium Development Goals. Discussants: Alex Mourmouras, James Hollyer
• Paper 4: Yonca Özdemir (Middle East Technical University), Does IMF Help Really Help? The Recovery of Argentina and Turkey after the 2001 Financial Crises. Discussants: Alex Mandilaras, Randy Stone
• Paper 5: Fuad Aleskerov (Higher School of Economics Russia), Valeriy Kalyagin (Higher School of Economics Russia), Kirill Pogorelskiy (Higher School of Economics Russia), Distribution of power within the IMF: when does preference mean voice?. Discussants: Dan Maliniak, Stephanie J. Rickard
• Paper 6: Byungwon Woo (Ohio State University), Strategic Politics of IMF Conditionality. Discussants: Axel Dreher, Christopher Kilby

World Bank

• Paper 8: Sophia Hänny (University of Zürich), Katharina Michaelowa (University of Zürich), Poverty Reduction Strategies and their Impact on  – Democratization in Developing Countries. Discussants: Desha M. Girod, Arvind Subramanian
• Paper 9: Daniel Nielson (Brigham Young University), Chris O’Keefe (Brigham Young University), IOs as Norms Platforms: The World Bank’s Influence on Environmental Practice at the Islamic Development Bank. Discussants: Thomas Bernauer, Mike Tierney

Trade

• Paper 10: Anne Boring (Université Paris-Dauphine), Does the WTO Increase the U.S. Trade of Pharmaceuticals. Discussants: Thomas Bernauer, Mark S. Copelovitch
• Paper 11: Thomas Hale (Princeton University), The De Facto Preferential Trade Agreement in East Asia. Discussants: Martin Gassebner, Abraham L. Newman
• Paper 12: Tobias Hofmann (College of William & Mary), Soo Yeon Kim (University of Maryland), The Political Economy of Compliance in WTO Disputes. Discussants: Christian Bjørnskov, Songying Fang
• Paper 13: Gilbert R. Winham (Dalhousie University), Negotiation or Lawmaking: An Institutional Analysis of WTO Decision Making. Discussants: Mark S. Copelovitch, Krzysztof Pelc

Aid

• Paper 14: Christian Dippel (University of Toronto), Foreign Aid as Sticks and Carrots in International Organizations. Discussants: Jennifer L. Tobin, Erik Voeten
• Paper 15: Viktor Brech (University of Konstanz), Niklas Potrafke (University of Konstanz), Effects of donor ideology on the components of foreign aid. Discussants: Stephen Knack, Jennifer Tobin
• Paper 16: Axel Dreher (University of Göttingen), Stephan Klasen (University of Göttingen), James Vreeland (Georgetown University), Eric Werker (Harvard Business School), The costs of favoritism: Is politically-driven aid less effective?. Discussants: Christopher Kilby, Stephen Knack

IOs, general

• Paper 17: Tana Johnson (University of Chicago), The Role of Intergovernmental Organizations in Institutional Design. Discussants: Daniel L. Nielson , Erik Voeten
• Paper 18: Axel Dreher (University of Göttingen), Heiner Mikosch (ETH Zürich), Stefan Voigt (University of Hamburg), Membership in International Organizations as a Signaling Device for Foreign Investors. Discussants: Songying Fang, Daniel L. Nielson
• Paper 19: Johannes Urpelainen (Columbia University), Unilateral Influence on International Bureaucrats: An International Delegation Problem. Discussants: Silvia Marchesi, Peter Rosendorff

Regional Financial Systems

• Paper 20: Rahul Tripathi (Goa University), A New Monetary Arrangement for Asia? A Political Critique. Discussants: Silvia Marchesi, Regine Wolfinger
• Paper 21: Ulrich Volz (German Development Institute), Julie McKay (European Central Bank), Regina Wolfinger (European Central Bank), Regional Financing Arrangements and the Stability of the International Monetary System. Discussants: Kate McNamara, Arvind Subramanian

Other IOs

• Paper 22: Anna D’Souza (Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture), The OECD Anti-Bribery Convention: Changing the Currents of Trade. Discussants: Erica Owen, Matthew S. Winters
• Paper 23: Kilian Bizer (University of Göttingen), Zulia Gubaydullina (University of Göttingen), Matthias Lankau (University of Göttingen), The Hidden Effectiveness of Minimal Results in International Negotiations, The Case of the WIPO. Discussants: Marc Busch, Clifford Carrubba
  
• Paper 24: Jiahua Che (University of Hong Kong), Gerald Willmann (Katholieke Universiteit Leuven), The Economics of a Multilateral Investment Agreement. Discussants: Peter Rosendorff, Christina Schneider

Friday, January 29, 2010
(Location: Hariri Building, McDonough School of Business – Room 250)

09:00-10:45pm Session 1: WTO

Chair: Christopher Kilby

• Paper 1: Richard Chisik (Florida International University), Limited Incremental Linking and Unlinked Trade Agreements. Discussion openers: Anne Boring, Christian Just
  
• Paper 2: Mark S. Copelovitch (University of Wisconsin-Madison), Jon C. Pevehouse (University of Wisconsin-Madison), Sore Losers? GATT/WTO Disputes and Exchange Rate Policy Choice. Discussion openers: Anna D’Souza, Thomas Hale
• Paper 3: Marc L. Busch (Georgetown University), Krzysztof Pelc (Princeton University), Tariff Bindings, Tariff Overhang, and Trade Remedies: Policy Flexibility at the WTO in Tough Political Times. Discussion openers: Richard Chisik, Matthias Lankau

10:45-11:15am Break

11:15-13:00pm Session 2: IOs & Human Rights

Chair: Lawrence Broz

• Paper 1: James R. Hollyer (New York University), Peter Rosendorff (New York University), Domestic Politics and the Accession of Authoritarian Regimes to Human Rights Treaties. Discussion openers: Seo-Young Cho, Johannes Urpelainen
• Paper 2: Seo-Young Cho (University of Göttingen), International Human Rights Treaty to Change Social Patterns – The Convention on the Elimination of all Forms of Discrimination against Women. Discussion openers: Chris Marcoux, Stefanie Rickard
• Paper 3: Erik Voeten (Georgetown University), Do Nationals in Leadership Positions Affect Cooperation with International Organizations? Evidence from the International Criminal Court using a Regression Discontinuity Design. Discussion openers: Tana Johnson, Erica Owen

13:00-2:30pm Lunch

2:30-4:15pm Session 3: IMF & Economic Impacts

Chair: Mike Tierney

• Paper 1: Muhammet A. Bas (Harvard University), Randall W. Stone (University of Rochester), If Life Sends You Lemons: Adverse Selection and Growth under IMF Programs. Discussion openers: Molly Bauer, Tamar Gutner
• Paper 2: Graham Bird (University of Surrey), Alex Mandilaras (University of Surrey), Once Bitten: The Effect of IMF Programs on Subsequent Reserve Behaviour. Discussion openers: Domenico Lombardi, Yonca Özdemir
• Paper 3: Wolfgang Mayer (University of Cincinnati), Alex Mourmouras (IMF), IMF Loans as Catalysts for Private Foreign Investment. Discussion openers: Christian Dippel, Tom Willett

4:15-4:45pm Break

4:45-6.00pm Session 4: IOs & The Environment

Chair: Thomas Bernauer

• Paper 1: J. Lawrence Broz (University of California, San Diegeo), Daniel Maliniak (University of California, San Diegeo), Malapportionment, Gasoline Taxes, and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Discussion openers: Gabi Ruoff, Gerald Willmann
• Paper 2: Thomas Bernauer (ETH Zurich, CIS), Anna Kalbhenn (ETH Zurich, CIS), Vally Koubi (ETH Zurich, CIS), Gabi Ruoff (ETH Zurich, CIS), Effects of treaty design and domestic legal hurdles on ratification of multilateral environmental agreements. Discussion openers: Lawrence Broz, Dan Maliniak

7:00-9:00pm Dinner for program participants: Riggs Library

Saturday, January 30, 2010
(Location: Hariri Building, McDonough School of Business – Room 340)

9:00-10:00am Distinguished Guest Speaker II

Chair: James Vreeland

• Amar Bhattacharya (Director, G24 Secretariat), The G20 and the Governance of International Financial Institutions

10:00-10:15am Break

10:15-12:00pm Session 1: Multilateral Organizations

Chair: Simon Hug

• Paper 1: Christina J. Schneider (University of California, San Diego), Jennifer L. Tobin (Georgetown University), Interest Coalitions and Multilateral Aid: Is the EU Bad for Africa?. Discussion openers: Christian Dippel, James Vreeland
• Paper 2: Daniel L. Nielson (Brigham Young University), Michael J. Tierney (College of William and Mary), Principals and Interests: Common Agency and Multilateral Development Bank Lending. Discussion openers: Tamar Gutner, Tana Johnson
• Paper 3: Todd Sandler (University of Texas, Dallas), Daniel G. Arce (University of Texas, Dallas), Walter Enders (University of Alabama), An Evaluation of INTERPOL’s Cooperative-based Counterterrorism Linkages. Discussion openers: Martin Gassebner, Hyeran Jo

12:15-1:30pm lunch

1:30-3:15pm Session 2: IFIs

Chair: Randy Stone

• Paper 1: Domenico Lombardi (Oxonia, Brookings), Bessma Momani (University of Waterloo), Explaining IMF and World Bank Relationship. Discussants: Graham Bird, Julie McKay
• Paper 2: Molly Bauer (University of California, San Diego), Cesi Cruz (University of California, San Diego), Benjamin A.T. Graham (University of California, San Diego), When do IMF Agreements Serve as a Seal of Approval?. Discussion openers: James Hollyer, Tom Willet
• Paper 3: Toke S. Aidt (University of Cambridge), Facundo Albornoz (University of Birmingham), Martin Gassebner (ETH Zürich), The Golden Halo and Political Transitions. Discussion openers: Ulrich Volz, Gilbert R. Winham

3:15-3:30pm break

3:30-5:15pm Session 3: Aid & General Theory

Chair: Stephanie Rickard

• Paper 1: Simon Hug (Université de Genève), Models of Multilateral Negotiations and Ratification. Discussion openers: Tobias Hofmann, Johannes Urpelainen
• Paper 2: Stephen Knack (The World Bank), Nicholas Eubank (Stanford Business School), Aid and Trust in Country Systems. Discussion openers: Katharina Michaelowa, Niklas Potrafke
• Paper 3: Desha M. Girod (Georgetown University), Fragile States and Foreign Aid: Political Origins of Economic Development After Civil War. Discussion openers: Chris O’Keefe, Dane Rowlands

5:15-5:30pm Concluding remarks

5:30-8:00pm Optional tour of Washington, DC

OUR MOST SINCERE THANKS FOR ADMINISTRATIVE AND FINANCIAL SUPPORT: