Program of the 13^th Annual Conference on

The Political Economy of International Organization

February 20-22, 2020

Wednesday, February 19, 2020

7:00 pm Dinner (optional, at own expense. Group sharing dinner with veg/non-veg options at C$33/person + tax begins at 7pm, please join at any time. Possibility of dining à la carte separately at any time.)

Nuba Restaurant (Lebanese): 207 West Hastings Street. Tel. 604-688-1655

Thursday, February 20, 2020

(Wosk Centre for Dialogue. 580 W. Hastings Street, Vancouver)

8:35-9:00 am Opening remarks
Traditional welcome: Sheryl Fisher-Rivers
Katharina Coleman, Eric Werker

9:00-10:45 am Session 1: Influence of and on IOs

Chair: Axel Dreher

• Paper 1: Erasmus Kersting (Villanova University), Christopher Kilby (Villanova University). Hidden Dragon? Chinese Influence at the World Bank. Discussion openers: Leslie Armijo, Andreas Fuchs
• Paper 2: Soo Yeon Kim (National University of Singapore), Jesslene Lee (National University of Singapore). Gaining Ground, Gaining Influence? Vote Shares and Power in the AIIB. Discussion openers: Ayse Kaya, Austin Strange
• Paper 3: Nikitas Konstantinidis (IE University), Bernhard Reinsberg (University of Glasgow). IMF Conditionality and the Local Ownership of Reforms. Discussion openers: Randall Henning, Tobias Krahnke

10:45-11:15 am Group photo and break

11:15-1:00 pm Session 2: Aid allocation

Chair: Katharina Coleman

• Paper 1: Ryan Briggs (University of Guelph). Why Does Aid not Target the Poorest? Discussion openers: Christina Gresser, Michael Tierney
• Paper 2: Paula Castro (University of Zurich), Katharina Michaelowa (University of Zurich), Chandreyee Namhata (University of Zurich). Donor Accountability Reconsidered: Aid Allocation in the Age of Global Public Goods. Discussion openers: Daniel Nielson, Kimberley Scharf
• Paper 3: Anders Olofsgard (Stockholm School of Economics), Maria Berlin Perrotta (Stockholm School of Economics), Raj Desai (Georgetown University). Trading Favors? UN Security Council Membership and Regional Favoritism in Aid Receiving Countries. Discussion openers: Axel Dreher, Jonathan Strand

1:00-2:00 pm Lunch (served in Wosk Centre)

2:00-3:45 pm Session 3: The regulation and performance of private firms

Chair: Renee Bowen

• Paper 1: Thomas Bernauer (ETH Zurich), Lukas Rudolph (ETH Zurich), Dennis Kolcava (ETH Zurich), Angelica Serrano (ETH Zurich). International Norms, Reciprocity, and Public Demand for Home-Country Regulation of Multinational Firms Abroad. Discussion openers: Amanda Kennard, Yoo Sun Jung
• Paper 2: Rachel Wellhausen (University of Texas), Carolina Moehlecke (Fundação Getulio Vargas), Calvin Thrall (University of Texas). Global Value Chains as a Constraint on Sovereignty: Evidence from Investor-State Dispute Settlement. Discussion openers: Tobias Hofmann, Iain Osgood
• Paper 3: Silvia Marchesi (University of Milano Bicocca), Tania Masi (University of Milano Bicocca), Saumik Paul (University of Newcastle). Project Aid, Firm Performance and the Labor’s Share in Firm Sales. Discussion openers: Erkan Gören, Anastasia Ufimtseva

3:45-4:15 pm Break

4:15-6:00 pm Session 4: Rights and peacekeeping

Chair: Randall Stone

• Paper 1: Stephen Nelson (Northwestern University), Christopher Dinkel (Northwestern University). Are IMF Lending Programs Harmful for Human Rights? Discussion openers: Claire Peacock, Wen-Chin Wu
• Paper 2: Layna Mosley (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill), Edmund Malesky (Duke University). Labor Upgrading, Trade Agreements and Export Market Opportunities: Evidence from Vietnam. Discussion openers: James Bisbee, Hyeon Young Ro
• Paper 3: Johannes Karreth (Ursinus College), Jason Quinn (University of Notre Dame), Madhav Joshi (University of Notre Dame), Jaroslav Tir (University of Colorado Boulder). IGOs and the Implementation of Comprehensive Peace Agreements. Discussion openers: Susanna Campbell, Vally Koubi

7:00 pm Dinner

Sai Woo Restaurant (“casual Asian fusion”): 158 East Pender Street. Tel.: 604-568-1117

Friday, February 21, 2020

(Segal Graduate School of Business, 500 Granville Street)

9:00-10:45 am Session 5: Aid and domestic politics

Chair: Christina Schneider

• Paper 1: Ryan Jablonski (LSE), Brigitte Seim (University of North Carolina), Johan Ahlbäck (LSE). How Information about Foreign Aid Affects Public Spending Decisions: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Malawi. Discussion openers: Eric Werker, Alexandra Zeitz
• Paper 2: Cleo O’Brien-Udry (Yale University). Avoiding the Blame Game: The Domestic Political Costs of Aid Withdrawal. Discussion openers: Ryan Brutger, Lauren Ferry
• Paper 3: Brandon de la Cuesta (Stanford University), Lucy Martin (University North Carolina), Helen Milner (Princeton University), Daniel Nielson (Brigham Young University). Foreign Aid, Oil Revenues, and Political Accountability: Elite and Public Opinion Evidence from Seven Experiments in Ghana and Uganda. Discussion openers: Dillon Laaker, Xiaojun Li

10:45-11:15 am Break

11:15-1:00 pm Session 6: Coordination and other approaches

Chair: Gabriele Spilker

• Paper 1: Martijn Huysmans (Utrecht University), Philippe van Gruisen (Leiden University). Substance and Subsidiarity: Co-issuance in the Early Warning System. Discussion openers: Christina Cottiero, Randall Henning
• Paper 2: Paasha Mahdavi (University of California San Diego), Christina Schneider (University of California San Diego), Jennifer Tobin (Georgetown University). Coordinated Financial Rescues. Discussion openers: Ulf von Kalckreuth, Adalbert Winkler
• Paper 3: Abigail Vaughn (Princeton University). Ties that Bind: The Geopolitics of Bilateral Currency Swaps. Discussion openers: Christopher Kilby, Tal Sadeh

1:00-2:00 pm Lunch (served in Segal Graduate School)

2:00-3:45 pm Session 7: Conditionality and change

Chair: Helen Milner

• Paper 1: Ben Cormier (LSE), Mark Manger (University of Toronto). The Evolution of World Bank Conditionality: A Quantitative Text Analysis. Discussion openers: Tobias Krahnke, Sebastian Schmidt
• Paper 2: Sanjeev Gupta (Center for Global Development), Michela Schena (Harvard University), Seyed Reza Yousefi (International Monetary Fund). Expenditure Conditionality in IMF-supported Programs. Discussion openers: Mark Copelovitch, Claudia Maurini
• Paper 3: Jacob Winter (University of Toronto). Drivers and Dynamics of Agenda Change at the World Bank. Discussion openers: Tea Gamtkitsulashvili, Elena McLean

3:45-4:15 pm Break

4:15-6:15 pm Poster Session and Reception

(Segal Graduate School of Business, 500 Granville Street)

Bilateral investment treaties

• Gyu Shim (University of Rochester), Yoo Sun Jung (Texas A&M University), Erica Owen (University of Pittsburgh). Heterogeneity in How Investors Respond to Disputes: Greenfield FDI and Co-Industrial Disputes. Discussants: Helen Milner, Calvin Thrall
• Tuuli-Anna Huikuri (University of Oxford). Keep, Terminate, or Renegotiate? Bargaining Power and Bilateral Investment Treaties. Discussants: Cesi Cruz, Brent Sutton
• Wen-Chin Wu (Academia Sinica & Harvard-Yenching Institute), Fangjin Ye (Shanghai University of Finance and Economics). Capital Openness, Bilateral Investment Treaties, and Coups d’État: A Mediation Analysis. Discussants: Erasmus Kersting, Gabriele Spilker

Foreign aid

• Christina Gresser (University of Bayreuth), David Stadelmann (University of Bayreuth). Evaluating Water- and Health Related Development Projects: A New Cross-Project and Micro-Based Approach. Discussants: Ryan Briggs, Andreas Fuchs
• Timothy Passmore (Virginia Military Institute), Jaroslav Tir (University of Colorado Boulder), Johannes Karreth (Ursinus College). Underwriting peace: The role of international influences in securing civil war state peacekeeping consent. Discussants: Katharina Coleman, Daniel Braaten
• Jürgen Bitzer (University of Oldenburg), Erkan Gören (University of Oldenburg). The Impact of Foreign Aid on Local Development: A Grid Cell Analysis. Discussants: Anders Olofsgard, Austin Strange
• Tobias Hofmann (University of Utah), Minta Siripong (University of Utah). Foreign Aid, Electoral Politics, and Subnational Development: Analyzing the Conditional Efficacy of World Bank Projects in India. Discussants: Katharina Michaelowa, Michael Tierney
• Lauren Ferry (University of Mississippi). Public Declarations: The Political Economy of Sovereign Debt Restructuring Negotiations. Discussants: Julia Gray, Tal Sadeh
• Lindsay Dolan (Wesleyan University), Alexandra Zeitz (European University Institute). Financing Development at Home: A Survey Experiment on Diaspora Members. Discussants: Ryan Jablonski, Daniel Nielson
• Susanna Campbell (American University), Gabriele Spilker (University of Salzburg). Rules of Aid: A survey experiment on aid to post-conflict countries. Discussants: Jaroslav Tir, Helen Milner
• Aila Matanock (University of California, Berkeley), Natalia Garbiras-Diaz (University of California, Berkeley). Untouchable Forces: Restoring Trust in Security in Weak States? Discussants: Sara Mitchell, Kimberley Scharf

International Monetary Fund

• Claudia Maurini (Bank of Italy). IMF Programmes and Stigma in EMEs. Discussants: Silvia Marchesi, Stephen Nelson
• Merih Angin (Koc University), Albana Shehaj (Harvard University), Adrian J. Shin (University of Colorado Boulder). Into the Woods: Migration and the Bretton Woods Institutions. Discussants: Ben Cormier, Stephen Nelson
• Ulf von Kalckreuth (Deutsche Bundesbank). Statistical Governance and FDI in Emerging Economies. Discussants: Erasmus Kersting, Manuel Oechslin
• Tobias Krahnke (Deutsche Bundesbank). Doing More with Less: The Catalytic Function of IMF Lending and the Role of Program Size. Discussants: Seyed Reza Yousefi, Randall Stone
• Randall Henning (American University), Tyler Pratt (Yale University). Dimensions of Order in International Regime Complexes: Authority, Differentiation, and Collaboration. Discussants: Jacob Winter, Tina Zappile
• Ayse Kaya (Swartmore College), Sam Handlin (Swarthmore College), Hakan Gunaydin (Garner Research). Populism and Voter Attitudes Toward International Organizations: Cross-Country and Experimental Evidence on the IMF. Discussants: Christopher Dinkel, Bernhard Reinsberg

World Trade Organization and bilateral trade agreements

• James Bisbee (Princeton University), B. Peter Rosendorff (New York University). The Occupational Status Threat and Populism. Discussants: Jesslene Lee, Erica Owen
• Marco Martini (University of Zurich). Backward-Engineering Trade Protection: Estimating Worldwide Industry-Level Trade Barriers. Discussants: Tim Büthe, Calvin Thrall
• Dillon Laaker (University of Wisconsin-Madison). Preferential Rules of Origin: Deflection or Protection? Discussants: Soo Yeon Kim, Jennifer Tobin
• Boram Lee (Harvard University). Environmental Issue Linkage as Electoral Insurance: The Case of NAFTA. Discussants: Mark Copelovitch, Gabriele Spilker
• Ryan Brutger (University of California, Berkeley), Brian Rathbun (University of Southern California). Fair Play? Equity and Equality in American Attitudes towards Trade. Discussants: Alex Baturo, B. Peter Rosendorff
• Iain Osgood (University of Michigan), Hyeon Young Ro (University of Michigan). Trade’s Progressive Opposition. Discussants: Renee Bowen, Cesi Cruz

Regional development banks and banking cooperation

• Alexander Plekhanov (European Bank for Reconstruction and Development), Tea Gamtkitsulashvili (European Bank for Reconstruction and Development), Gaurav Jain (University of Oxford), Alexander Stepanov (European Bank for Reconstruction and Development). Project Selection or Project Design in a Multilateral Development Bank: Evidence from Text Analysis. Discussants: Christopher Kilby, Mark Manger
• Tina Zappile (Stockton University), Daniel Braaten (Texas Lutheran University), Jonathan Strand (University of Nevada). Business as Usual: The Continuity of U.S. Leadership in the Global Economic Order from 2004-2019. Discussants: Cleo O’Brien-Udry, Brent Sutton
• Adalbert Winkler (Frankfurt School of Finance & Management), Aron Gereben (European Investment Bank), Matic Petricek (Bank of Slovenia), Anton Rop (Frankfurt School of Finance & Management). Do IFIs Make a Difference? The Impact of EIB Lending Support for SMEs in Central and Eastern Europe During the Global Financial Crisis. Discussants: Richard Clark, Abigail Vaughn
• Emily Jones (University of Oxford). Regulatory Interdependence in Global Finance: The Politics of Banking Regulation in Developing Countries. Discussants: Raj Desai, Layna Mosley

Other interesting topics

• Yoav Raskin (Tel Aviv University & Yale University), Tal Sadeh (Tel Aviv University). Doomed to Alienate? How European Integration Feeds Euroscepticism. Discussants: Simon Hug, Martijn Huysmans
• Vally Koubi (ETH Zurich and University of Bern), Steffen Mohrenberg (ETH Zurich), Thomas Bernauer (ETH Zurich). Ratification of Multilateral Environmental Agreements: Civil Society Access to International Institutions. Discussants: Sam Rowan, Anastasia Ufimtseva
• Elena McLean (SUNY Buffalo). Green Contracts: The Global Environment Facility and the Politics of Procurement. Discussants: Thomas Bernauer, Katharina Michaelowa
• Andreas Fuchs (University of Goettingen), Andrew K. Rose (UC Berkeley and National University of Singapore), Sebastian Schmidt (University of Goettingen and Kiel Institute for the World Economy). Does It Pay Off to Attend Davos? Discussants: Tim Büthe, Julia Gray
• Rachel Schoner (University of California San Diego). Empowering the Individual: Repressive Regimes in the Human Rights Committee. Discussants: Layna Mosley, Andrew Owsiak
• Christina Cottiero (University of California San Diego). Cooperation in the Shadow of Future Crisis: Coup Risk and Regional Organizations. Discussants: Katharina Coleman, Timothy Passmore
• Sharun Mukand (University of Warwick), Sayantan Ghosal (University of Glasgow), Anna Malova (University of Glasgow). Engineering Institutional Change. Discussants: Renee Bowen, Manuel Oechslin
• Claire Peacock (Simon Fraser University), Jean-Frédéric Morin (Laval University), Benjamin Tremblay-Auger (Stanford University). Familiar Solutions: How Withdrawal Provisions Affect State Ratification Preferences. Discussants: Stephen Chaudoin, Mark Manger
• Wilfred Chow (University of Hong Kong), Enze Han (University of Hong Kong), Xiaojun Li (University of British Columbia). Racial Representation and Leadership at International Organizations. Discussants: Susanna Campbell, Eric Werker

7:00 pm Dinner

Steam Works (Canadian Brew Pub): 375 Water Street. Tel.: 604-689-2739

Saturday, February 22, 2020

(Segal Graduate School of Business, 500 Granville Street)

9:00-10:45 am Session 8: United Nations

Chair: Eric Werker

• Paper 1: Simon Hug (University of Geneva), Fang-Yi Chiou (Academia Sinica), Bjorn Hoyland (University of Oslo). Yet Another Look at Vote Buying in the UN General Assembly. Discussion openers: Randall Stone, Jonathan Strand
• Paper 2: Alex Baturo (Dublin City University), Julia Gray (University of Pennsylvania). Mr. Castro Goes to New York: Autocrats and Democrats on the International Stage. Discussion openers: Tuuli-Anna Huikuri, Rachel Schoner
• Paper 3: Sara Mitchell (University of Iowa), Andrew Owsiak (University of Georgia). Judicialization of the Sea: Bargaining under the UNCLOS Regime. Discussion openers: Thomas Bernauer, Jaroslav Tir

10:45-11:15 am Break

11:15-1:00 pm Session 9: Effects of IO membership—and statistics

Chair: Soo Yeon Kim

• Paper 1: Charles Roger (Institut Barcelona d’Estudis Internacionals), Sam Rowan (University of Oxford). Analyzing International Organizations: How the Concepts We Use Affect the Answers We Get. Discussion openers: Boram Lee,  Tyler Pratt
• Paper 2: Tim Büthe (Technical University of Munich), Cindy Cheng (Technical University of Munich). When is IO Membership Just Cheap Talk – and When Does it Have Behavioral Implications? Innovation, Antitrust/Competition Law, and the International Competition Network. Discussion openers: Emily Jones, Marco Martini
• Paper 3: Manuel Oechslin (University of Lucerne), Elias Steiner (University of Lucerne). Statistical Capacity and Corrupt Bureaucracies. Discussion openers: Natalia Garbiras-Diaz, B. Peter Rosendorff

1:00-2:00 pm Lunch

2:00-3:45 pm Session 10: Violence and reform

Chair: Dan Nielson

• Paper 1: Stephen Chaudoin (Harvard University). How International Organizations Change Media Discussion of Internal Violence. Discussion openers: Johannes Karreth, Aila Matanock
• Paper 2: Allison Carnegie (Columbia University), Richard Clark (Columbia University). In the Shadow of Intervention: The Political Determinants of Institutional Reform. Discussion openers: Anna Malova, Adrian J. Shin
• Paper 3: Renee Bowen (University of California San Diego), Lawrence Broz (University of California San Diego). Designing an International Economic Order: A Research Agenda. Christina Schneider, Adalbert Winkler

3:45-4:00 pm: Closing Remarks

6:00 pm Dinner (optional, at own expense)

(Location: Vancouver Fish Company (seafood). 1517 Anderson Street, Granville Island. Tel.: 604-559-3474 )

Sunday, February 23, 2020

~8:30 am Ski Trip (optional, at own expense and risk)

Recommended for post-PEIO daytrip:

• Cypress Mountain: In West Vancouver, accessible by the seabus and a private shuttle (ca. 30-40 min drive). Downhill skiing, snowboarding, and cross-country skiing. Rentals available onsite.

For a longer outing, farther afield:

• Whistler Mountain, accessible by a 2-hour bus ride from nearby the hotels (https://epicrides.ca/; book early to ensure you’re on the right buses and go early (6 am) since the mountain closes at 4 pm). Cross-country skiing, downhill skiing/snowboarding, snowshoeing, ziplining. Rentals available onsite. Many lodging options for those interested in a longer trip, but advance booking is highly recommended.